Central and East European
Society for Phenomenology

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The coherence argument against conditionalization

Matthias Hild

pp. 229-258

Abstract

I re-examine Coherence Arguments (Dutch Book Arguments, No Arbitrage Arguments) for diachronic constraints on Bayesian reasoning. I suggest to replace the usual game–theoretic coherence condition with a new decision–theoretic condition ('Diachronic Sure Thing Principle'). The new condition meets a large part of the standard objections against the Coherence Argument and frees it, in particular, from a commitment to additive utilities. It also facilitates the proof of the Converse Dutch Book Theorem.

Publication details

Published in:

(1998) Synthese 115 (2).

Pages: 229-258

DOI: 10.1023/A:1005082908147

Full citation:

Hild Matthias (1998) „The coherence argument against conditionalization“. Synthese 115 (2), 229–258.