Central and East European
Society for Phenomenology

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Modelling mechanisms with causal cycles

Brendan ClarkeBert LeuridanJon Williamson

pp. 1651-1681

Abstract

Mechanistic philosophy of science views a large part of scientific activity as engaged in modelling mechanisms. While science textbooks tend to offer qualitative models of mechanisms, there is increasing demand for models from which one can draw quantitative predictions and explanations. Casini et al. (Theoria 26(1):5–33, 2011) put forward the Recursive Bayesian Networks (RBN) formalism as well suited to this end. The RBN formalism is an extension of the standard Bayesian net formalism, an extension that allows for modelling the hierarchical nature of mechanisms. Like the standard Bayesian net formalism, it models causal relationships using directed acyclic graphs. Given this appeal to acyclicity, causal cycles pose a prima facie problem for the RBN approach. This paper argues that the problem is a significant one given the ubiquity of causal cycles in mechanisms, but that the problem can be solved by combining two sorts of solution strategy in a judicious way.

Publication details

Published in:

(2014) Synthese 191 (8).

Pages: 1651-1681

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-013-0360-7

Full citation:

Clarke Brendan, Leuridan Bert, Williamson Jon (2014) „Modelling mechanisms with causal cycles“. Synthese 191 (8), 1651–1681.