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Quantum probabilities and the conjunction principle
pp. 109-114
Abstract
A recent argument by Hawthorne and Lasonen-Aarnio purports to show that we can uphold the principle that competently forming conjunctions is a knowledge-preserving operation only at the cost of a rampant skepticism about the future. A key premise of their argument is that, in light of quantum-mechanical considerations, future contingents never quite have chance 1 of being true. We argue, by drawing attention to the order of magnitude of the relevant quantum probabilities, that the skeptical threat of Hawthorne and Lasonen-Aarnio’s argument is illusory.
Publication details
Published in:
Peijnenburg Jeanne, Fitelson Branden, Douven Igor (2012) Probability, confirmation and fallacies. Synthese 184 (1).
Pages: 109-114
DOI: 10.1007/s11229-009-9693-7
Full citation:
Douven Igor, Uffink Jos (2012) „Quantum probabilities and the conjunction principle“. Synthese 184 (1), 109–114.