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The qualitative paradox of non-conglomerability
pp. 1181-1210
Abstract
A probability function is non-conglomerable just in case there is some proposition E and partition (pi ) of the space of possible outcomes such that the probability of E conditional on any member of (pi ) is bounded by two values yet the unconditional probability of E is not bounded by those values. The paradox of non-conglomerability is the counterintuitive—and controversial—claim that a rational agent’s subjective probability function can be non-conglomerable. In this paper, I present a qualitative analogue of the paradox. I show that, under antecedently plausible assumptions, an analogue of the paradox arises for rational comparative confidence. As I show, the qualitative paradox raises its own distinctive set of philosophical issues.
Publication details
Published in:
Ulatowski Joseph, Wright Cory (2018) Minimalism about truth. Synthese 195 (3).
Pages: 1181-1210
DOI: 10.1007/s11229-016-1261-3
Full citation:
DiBella Nicholas (2018) „The qualitative paradox of non-conglomerability“. Synthese 195 (3), 1181–1210.